Markets
π€ai
-8.2%
Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 1.8%No 98.2%
Vol $25
π€ai
-7.7%
Will Meituan have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 1.8%No 98.2%
Vol $25
π€ai
-5.3%
Will ByteDance have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 1.8%No 98.2%
Vol $25
π€ai
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 1.4%No 98.6%
Vol $25
π€ai
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanityβs Last Exam?
Yes 6.5%No 93.5%
Vol $21
π€ai
+3.0%
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 61.0%No 39.0%
Vol $21
π€ai
-0.9%
Will Xiaomi have the second-best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Yes 0.2%No 99.8%
Vol $20
π€ai
-12.0%
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
Yes 16.5%No 83.5%
Vol $20
π€ai
-13.5%
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
Yes 24.0%No 76.0%
Vol $20
π€ai
-0.1%
Will DeepSeek have the second-best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Yes 3.5%No 96.5%
Vol $20
π€ai
-2.1%
Will Google have the second-best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Yes 3.3%No 96.7%
Vol $20
π€ai
-7.5%
Will any AI model reach 1520 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Yes 64.0%No 36.0%
Vol $19
π€ai
+13.5%
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes 29.0%No 71.0%
Vol $17
π€ai
-2.5%
Will Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes 13.0%No 87.0%
Vol $17
π€ai
-2.0%
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes 13.5%No 86.5%
Vol $17
π€ai
-2.6%
Will Baidu have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes 13.5%No 86.5%
Vol $17
π€ai
-0.9%
Will Moonshot have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes 12.8%No 87.2%
Vol $17
π€ai
-0.5%
Will Amazon have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes 13.0%No 87.0%
Vol $17
π€ai
+3.0%
Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes 13.0%No 87.0%
Vol $17
π€ai
+4.3%
Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes 10.5%No 89.5%
Vol $17
π€ai
-3.5%
Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes 11.0%No 89.0%
Vol $17
π€ai
+3.7%
Will Meituan have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes 14.2%No 85.8%
Vol $17
π€ai
-7.0%
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes 10.0%No 90.0%
Vol $17
π€ai
-1.0%
Will Microsoft have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes 6.5%No 93.5%
Vol $17