O
🏛️politicsEnds 6mo

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes0.4%
99.6%No
$84K
Total Vol
$3K
24h Vol
$11K
Liquidity
-0.7%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$24900.00
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Kevin Warsh being confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate and the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?"?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Kevin Warsh being confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate and the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 0.4% and No at 99.6%. This is based on $83,852.24 total volume.
市场
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? | 0.4% Odds — OctoTrend