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cryptoEnds 8mo

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Yes19.0%
81.0%No
$5K
Total Vol
$120
24h Vol
$414
Liquidity
+6.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$426.32
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?"?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 19.0% and No at 81.0%. This is based on $4,773.458 total volume.
市场
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026? | 19.0% Odds — OctoTrend