O
cryptoEnds 1mo

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Yes3.6%
96.4%No
$72K
Total Vol
$26
24h Vol
$3K
Liquidity
-0.4%
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

1%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

11%+1.0%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

2%-1.2%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

34%-5.0%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

40%-7.0%

FAQ

What is "Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?"?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 3.6% and No at 96.4%. This is based on $71,525.914 total volume.
市场