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🏛️politicsEnds 5mo

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Yes8.5%
91.5%No
$63K
Total Vol
$555
24h Vol
$14K
Liquidity
+0.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$1076.47
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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FAQ

What is "Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?"?▾
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 8.5% and No at 91.5%. This is based on $62,781.918 total volume.
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Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | 8.5% Odds — OctoTrend