O
🏛️politicsEnds 29d

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?

Yes100.0%
0.1%No
$22K
Total Vol
$22K
24h Vol
$212K
Liquidity
+13.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$0.05
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

50%+44.4%

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?

0%-25.4%

Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

0%-10.6%

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?

100%+0.1%

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

2%-0.1%

Correlated Markets

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

opposite

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

same

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

independent

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

opposite

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

opposite

FAQ

What is "Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 100.0% and No at 0.1%. This is based on $22,470.521 total volume.
← 市场
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026? | 100.0% Odds — OctoTrend