O
🏛️politicsEnds 8mo

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

Yes54.0%
46.0%No
$116K
Total Vol
$0
24h Vol
$226
Liquidity
-6.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$85.19
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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FAQ

What is "CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?"?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 54.0% and No at 46.0%. This is based on $115,731.51 total volume.
市场
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31? | 54.0% Odds — OctoTrend