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cryptoEnds 1mo

Will Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026?

Yes78.0%
22.0%No
$1K
Total Vol
$484
24h Vol
$3K
Liquidity
+3.5%
24h Change

About This Market

If Marco Rubio visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Rubio physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Rubio enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Marco Rubio, the US Federal Government, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Will Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026?"?
If Marco Rubio visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Rubio physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Rubio enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Marco Rubio, the US Federal Government, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 78.0% and No at 22.0%. This is based on $1,230.25 total volume.
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