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🤖aiEnds 8mo

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

Yes33.5%
66.5%No
$28K
Total Vol
$1K
24h Vol
$2K
Liquidity
+1.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$198.51
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

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FAQ

What is "Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 33.5% and No at 66.5%. This is based on $27,821.162 total volume.
← 市场
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | 33.5% Odds — OctoTrend