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🏛️politicsEnds 8mo

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

Yes7.6%
92.3%No
$15K
Total Vol
$38
24h Vol
$14K
Liquidity
-1.4%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$1207.19
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Elon Musk will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Elon Musk (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?"?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Elon Musk will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Elon Musk (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 7.6% and No at 92.3%. This is based on $15,345.025 total volume.
市场
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | 7.6% Odds — OctoTrend