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🏛️politicsEnds 19d

Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be below 600,000 voters?

Yes4.5%
95.5%No
$949
Total Vol
$10
24h Vol
$13K
Liquidity
+0.1%
24h Change

About This Market

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Related Markets

Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?

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Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?

1%

Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?

13%+2.5%

Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?

1%-0.1%

Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?

28%+8.5%

FAQ

What is "Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be below 600,000 voters?"?
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 4.5% and No at 95.5%. This is based on $948.918 total volume.
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