O
🏛️politicsEnds 5mo

Will Partido Social Democrático (PSD) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

Yes4.7%
95.3%No
$981
Total Vol
$0
24h Vol
$11K
Liquidity
-0.3%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$2027.66
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 30-32 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?

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Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

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Will Partido Democrático Trabalhista (PDT) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?

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Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?

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Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?

independent

Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 30-32 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?

independent

Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

same

Will Partido Democrático Trabalhista (PDT) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?

opposite

Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?

opposite

FAQ

What is "Will Partido Social Democrático (PSD) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?"?
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 4.7% and No at 95.3%. This is based on $980.647 total volume.
Thị trường
Will Partido Social Democrático (PSD) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | 4.7% Odds — OctoTrend