O
🏛️politicsEnds 6mo

Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes34.5%
65.5%No
$12K
Total Vol
$942
24h Vol
$20K
Liquidity
-1.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$189.86
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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FAQ

What is "Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?"?▾
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 34.5% and No at 65.5%. This is based on $11,896.472 total volume.
← Thị trường
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | 34.5% Odds — OctoTrend