🐙OctoTrend
cryptoEnds 5mo

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes
13.0%
No
87.0%
$124K
Total Vol
$22K
24h Vol
$86K
Liquidity
+0.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$669.23
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

5%+0.5%

Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

10%

Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

92%

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

29%-2.3%

Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?

100%

Correlated Markets

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

independent

Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

independent

Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

independent

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

opposite

Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?

independent

FAQ

What is "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?"?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 13.0% and No at 87.0%. This is based on $123,669.84 total volume.
Thị trường
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? — OctoTrend