O
🏛️politicsEnds 8mo

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Yes10.5%
89.5%No
$349K
Total Vol
$981
24h Vol
$47K
Liquidity
-1.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$852.38
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 10.5% and No at 89.5%. This is based on $348,913.62 total volume.
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Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | 10.5% Odds — OctoTrend