🐙OctoTrend
🏛️politicsEnds 2mo

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Yes
7.8%
No
92.2%
$503K
Total Vol
$70K
24h Vol
$33K
Liquidity
-8.6%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$1173.89
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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FAQ

What is "Starmer out by May 15, 2026?"?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 7.8% and No at 92.2%. This is based on $503,496.62 total volume.
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