🏛️politicsEnds 3mo
Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 special election?
Yes22.6%
77.5%No
$79
Total Vol
$11
24h Vol
$384
Liquidity
+2.6%
24h Change
About This Market
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
FAQ
What is "Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 special election?"?▾
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 22.6% and No at 77.5%. This is based on $78.66 total volume.