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🏛️politicsEnds 7mo

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?

Yes30.5%
69.5%No
$2K
Total Vol
$0
24h Vol
$2K
Liquidity
-5.0%
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?

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Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

62%-3.5%

FAQ

What is "U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?"?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 30.5% and No at 69.5%. This is based on $1,798.959 total volume.
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