Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

1%-2.3%

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

0%

Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?

0%-0.3%

Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

87%-2.9%

Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?

0%

Correlated Markets

FAQ