🏛️politicsEnds 8mo
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Yes14.5%
85.5%No
$59K
Total Vol
$16
24h Vol
$16K
Liquidity
-0.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$589.66
If No wins
$-100.00
About This Market
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
FAQ
What is "NATO article 5 before 2027?"?▾
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 14.5% and No at 85.5%. This is based on $58,976.895 total volume.