O
₿cryptoEnds 8mo

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Yes14.5%
85.5%No
$74K
Total Vol
$129
24h Vol
$3K
Liquidity
+3.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$589.66
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

0%-0.1%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

0%-0.3%

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

24%+9.5%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

5%

Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

100%+46.5%

Correlated Markets

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

independent

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

same

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

independent

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

independent

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

same

FAQ

What is "Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 14.5% and No at 85.5%. This is based on $74,264.98 total volume.
← Mercados