O
πŸ›οΈpoliticsEnds 1mo

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?

Yes58.0%
42.0%No
$3K
Total Vol
$0
24h Vol
$3K
Liquidity
-4.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$72.41
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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FAQ

What is "UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?"?β–Ύ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?β–Ύ
The market currently prices Yes at 58.0% and No at 42.0%. This is based on $3,252.264 total volume.
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UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026? | 58.0% Odds β€” OctoTrend