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šŸ›ļøpoliticsEnds 5mo

Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

Yes81.0%
19.0%No
$242K
Total Vol
$361
24h Vol
$3K
Liquidity
+11.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$23.46
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senateā€™s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Will Partido Socialista Brasileiro (PSB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

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Will Partido da Social Democracia Brasileira (PSDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

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Will Partido Social DemocrƔtico (PSD) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

6%+2.5%

Will Partido Novo (NOVO) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

5%+4.8%

Will Partido dos Trabalhadores (PT) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

3%+0.3%

Correlated Markets

Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

same

Will Partido Socialista Brasileiro (PSB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

independent

Will Partido da Social Democracia Brasileira (PSDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

opposite

Will Partido Social DemocrƔtico (PSD) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

same

Will Partido Novo (NOVO) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

same

FAQ

What is "Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?"?ā–¾
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senateā€™s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
What is the current probability?ā–¾
The market currently prices Yes at 81.0% and No at 19.0%. This is based on $242,340.98 total volume.
ā† Mercados
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | 81.0% Odds ā€” OctoTrend