O
🏛️politicsEnds 7mo

Will Trump nationalize elections?

Yes18.0%
82.0%No
$15K
Total Vol
$0
24h Vol
$2K
Liquidity
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$455.56
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

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FAQ

What is "Will Trump nationalize elections?"?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 18.0% and No at 82.0%. This is based on $15,011.163 total volume.
Mercados
Will Trump nationalize elections? | 18.0% Odds — OctoTrend