Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats. Ties do not qualify as a majority. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

0%-2.5%

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

19%+2.0%

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

83%-1.0%

Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

0%-0.8%

Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

0%-7.4%

FAQ