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₿cryptoEnds 8mo

Human moon landing in 2026?

Yes3.6%
96.4%No
$1.9M
Total Vol
$1K
24h Vol
$19K
Liquidity
-0.7%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$2677.78
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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FAQ

What is "Human moon landing in 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 3.6% and No at 96.4%. This is based on $1,911,743.4 total volume.
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Human moon landing in 2026? | 3.6% Odds — OctoTrend