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Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Yes29.3%
70.7%No
$1K
Total Vol
$0
24h Vol
$537
Liquidity
+0.8%
24h Change

About This Market

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

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Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

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Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

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Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

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FAQ

What is "Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?"?
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 29.3% and No at 70.7%. This is based on $1,416.429 total volume.
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