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₿cryptoEnds 8mo

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Yes29.5%
70.5%No
$214K
Total Vol
$967
24h Vol
$36K
Liquidity
+7.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$238.98
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

FAQ

What is "Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 29.5% and No at 70.5%. This is based on $213,966.92 total volume.
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Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | 29.5% Odds — OctoTrend