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Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Yes20.5%
79.5%No
$961
Total Vol
$98
24h Vol
$3K
Liquidity
-5.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$284.62
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The Yashar party ("Yashar! With Eisenkot") or the Together Party announce that the Yashar party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party. 2) Gadi Eisenkot or the Together party announce that Gadi Eisenkot will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count. If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance. If the Yashar party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Yashar party for purposes of this market, provided Gadi Eisenkot is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Yashar party, the Together party, Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?"?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The Yashar party ("Yashar! With Eisenkot") or the Together Party announce that the Yashar party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party. 2) Gadi Eisenkot or the Together party announce that Gadi Eisenkot will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count. If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance. If the Yashar party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Yashar party for purposes of this market, provided Gadi Eisenkot is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Yashar party, the Together party, Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 20.5% and No at 79.5%. This is based on $961.234 total volume.
Mercados
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? | 20.5% Odds — OctoTrend