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🏛️politicsEnds 3mo

Will Justin Kirk be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?

Yes6.3%
93.7%No
$846
Total Vol
$18
24h Vol
$2K
Liquidity
-4.3%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$1487.30
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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FAQ

What is "Will Justin Kirk be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?"?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 6.3% and No at 93.7%. This is based on $845.774 total volume.
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