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Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Yes93.5%
6.5%No
$92K
Total Vol
$2K
24h Vol
$4K
Liquidity
+2.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$6.95
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?"?β–Ύ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?β–Ύ
The market currently prices Yes at 93.5% and No at 6.5%. This is based on $92,186.766 total volume.
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Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | 93.5% Odds β€” OctoTrend