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🏛️politicsEnds 1mo

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes27.5%
72.5%No
$932K
Total Vol
$14K
24h Vol
$70K
Liquidity
+2.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$263.64
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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FAQ

What is "Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?"?
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 27.5% and No at 72.5%. This is based on $932,377.1 total volume.
Mercados
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | 27.5% Odds — OctoTrend — Análise de Mercados Preditivos com IA & Sinais