O
🏛️politicsEnds 1mo

Will Jerry Lightfoot be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?

Yes20.3%
79.7%No
$417
Total Vol
$25
24h Vol
$875
Liquidity
+19.8%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$392.61
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related Markets

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

26%+0.1%

Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%

Correlated Markets

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

independent

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

independent

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

independent

Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

independent

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

independent

FAQ

What is "Will Jerry Lightfoot be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?"?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 20.3% and No at 79.7%. This is based on $417.245 total volume.
Mercados
Will Jerry Lightfoot be the Democratic nominee for MD-05? | 20.3% Odds — OctoTrend