πŸ™OctoTrend
πŸ›οΈpoliticsEnds 18d

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes72.5%
27.5%No
$247K
Total Vol
$12K
24h Vol
$27K
Liquidity
+1.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$37.93
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related Markets

Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1%+0.3%

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1%

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1%

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1%

Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1%

Correlated Markets

Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

independent

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

independent

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

independent

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

independent

Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

independent

FAQ

What is "Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?"?β–Ύ
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
What is the current probability?β–Ύ
The market currently prices Yes at 72.5% and No at 27.5%. This is based on $246,720.3 total volume.
← Mercados