O
cryptoEnds 26d

Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?

Yes2.1%
98.0%No
$3K
Total Vol
$139
24h Vol
$4K
Liquidity
-0.3%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$4778.05
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

8%-2.5%

Tucker Carlson federally charged?

3%-0.1%

Correlated Markets

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

opposite

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

independent

Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?

same

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by April 30, 2026?

opposite

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?

independent

FAQ

What is "Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?"?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 2.1% and No at 98.0%. This is based on $2,507.77 total volume.
Mercados
Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31? | 2.1% Odds — OctoTrend