O
cryptoEnds 8mo

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Yes16.5%
83.5%No
$146K
Total Vol
$2K
24h Vol
$19K
Liquidity
-6.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$506.06
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Iran leadership change by December 31?

34%-2.0%

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

19%+2.0%

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

13%-1.0%

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

38%

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

48%-5.0%

Correlated Markets

Iran leadership change by December 31?

opposite

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

same

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

opposite

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

independent

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

opposite

FAQ

What is "Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?"?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 16.5% and No at 83.5%. This is based on $146,097.4 total volume.
Mercados