O
🏛️politicsEnds 5mo

Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

Yes4.2%
95.9%No
$3K
Total Vol
$195
24h Vol
$14K
Liquidity
+2.5%
24h Change

About This Market

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

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FAQ

What is "Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?"?
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 4.2% and No at 95.9%. This is based on $2,800.596 total volume.
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