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Economic Prediction Markets

60 active markets

Monitor economic prediction markets tracking interest rates, inflation forecasts, GDP growth, employment figures, and monetary policy decisions from central banks worldwide. Economic prediction markets aggregate the collective wisdom of traders to forecast macroeconomic outcomes, often providing earlier and more nuanced signals than traditional economic indicators.

OctoTrend tracks hundreds of active economic markets covering Federal Reserve decisions, ECB policy rates, recession probabilities, commodity price targets, and key economic data releases. Our AI analysis evaluates cross-market correlations between economic forecasts and related crypto, political, and financial markets to provide comprehensive context.

Trade signals highlight economic markets where AI probability estimates diverge from current prices, identifying potential value opportunities before the broader market adjusts. The Radar system monitors for sudden probability shifts around economic data releases and central bank announcements, providing real-time alerts when markets react to new information.

Economic prediction markets are essential tools for understanding market expectations around monetary policy, fiscal decisions, and macroeconomic trends. They complement traditional forecasting by providing continuously updated probability estimates backed by real financial stakes, making them valuable for investors, analysts, and researchers.

Whether you're tracking the next Fed rate decision, monitoring inflation expectations, or evaluating recession risk, OctoTrend provides real-time market intelligence to inform your economic analysis. Browse the most active economic prediction markets below.

AI bubble burst in 2026?

14%+0.9%244d :08h :55m :09s
economyVol: $9.4K● Active
6h +2.4%24h +4.3%12%β†’17%

US recession by end of 2026?

25%+1.0%275d :08h :55m :09s
economyVol: $7.4K● Active
1h -1.0%6h -1.0%24h -1.0%26%β†’25%

Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?

88%+36.5%7d :05h :55m :09s
economyVol: $6.7K● Active
6h +3.5%24h +23.0%66%β†’89%

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by May 1?

0%-0.1%08h :55m :09s
economyVol: $3.5K● Active

Will Expedia (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?

93%-3.8%7d :05h :55m :09s
economyVol: $1.7K● Active
1h -0.6%6h +1.8%24h -4.0%96%β†’92%

Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?

89%+38.0%7d :05h :55m :09s
economyVol: $1.7K● Active
1h +9.0%6h +7.0%24h +36.0%52%β†’88%

Will BuzzFeed (BZFD) beat quarterly earnings?

46%-10.0%7d :05h :55m :09s
economyVol: $1.4K● Active
1h -0.5%6h -1.5%24h -4.5%50%β†’46%

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?

3%+2.3%08h :55m :09s
economyVol: $999● Active
6h +0.8%24h +2.4%1%β†’3%

Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?

18%-37.5%7d :05h :55m :09s
economyVol: $800● Active
6h -23.0%24h -32.0%50%β†’18%

Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?

77%+26.0%7d :05h :55m :09s
economyVol: $768● Active
1h +20.0%6h +20.0%24h +30.5%51%β†’82%

Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?

81%-4.0%7d :05h :55m :09s
economyVol: $514● Active
6h -3.5%24h -4.0%85%β†’81%

Will Akamai Technologies (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?

92%+41.0%7d :05h :55m :09s
economyVol: $419● Active
6h +1.0%24h +41.0%51%β†’92%

Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?

71%+15.0%7d :05h :55m :09s
economyVol: $208● Active
6h -1.5%24h +20.5%50%β†’71%

Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?

21%-0.4%263d :08h :55m :09s
economyVol: $190● Active
6h -0.6%24h -0.6%21%β†’21%

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?

0%-0.2%08h :55m :09s
economyVol: $161● Active

Japan recession in 2026?

45%+2.0%334d :08h :55m :09s
economyVol: $121● Active
6h +0.5%24h +2.5%42%β†’45%

Will Trade Desk (TTD) beat quarterly earnings?

84%+7.5%7d :05h :55m :09s
economyVol: $117● Active
24h +32.5%51%β†’84%

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?

0%-0.2%08h :55m :09s
economyVol: $114● Active

UK Recession in 2026?

56%+0.5%334d :08h :55m :09s
economyVol: $86● Active
6h +1.0%56%β†’56%

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 400M by June 5?

97%+8.1%60d :08h :55m :09s
economyVol: $82● Active
24h +9.4%88%β†’97%

Will SpaceX list on the NYSE?

1%-7.6%
economyVol: $73● Active
24h -7.4%9%β†’2%

Will Microchip Technology (MCHP) beat quarterly earnings?

62%+11.5%7d :05h :55m :09s
economyVol: $33● Active
1h -0.5%24h +11.5%51%β†’62%

Will Opendoor (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?

61%+11.5%7d :05h :55m :09s
economyVol: $28● Active
1h -0.5%6h +12.5%24h +11.5%49%β†’61%

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?

0%08h :55m :09s
economyVol: $27● Active

Frequently Asked Questions

What economic events are covered?β–Ύ
OctoTrend tracks prediction markets for Federal Reserve rate decisions, inflation data, GDP growth, unemployment figures, central bank policy changes, recession probabilities, and major economic indicator releases.
How accurate are economic prediction markets?β–Ύ
Economic prediction markets aggregate views from traders with diverse expertise and financial incentives for accuracy. They often price in expectations before official data releases and have historically tracked close to realized outcomes.
Can I track interest rate predictions?β–Ύ
Yes β€” multiple markets cover specific Fed rate outcomes, including target rate ranges, number of cuts or hikes per year, and timing of policy changes. These are among the most actively traded economic markets.

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