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🏛️politicsEnds 5mo

Will Republicanos (REPUBLICANOS) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

Yes0.7%
99.4%No
$1K
Total Vol
$0
24h Vol
$3K
Liquidity
-0.4%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$15284.62
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Related Markets

Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

7%+5.1%

Will Partido Democrático Trabalhista (PDT) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?

4%-9.0%

Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?

50%-12.0%

Will Republicanos (REPUBLICANOS) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

4%-0.6%

Will Podemos (PODEMOS) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?

26%+25.7%

Correlated Markets

Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

same

Will Partido Democrático Trabalhista (PDT) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?

opposite

Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?

opposite

Will Republicanos (REPUBLICANOS) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

independent

Will Podemos (PODEMOS) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?

same

FAQ

What is "Will Republicanos (REPUBLICANOS) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?"?▾
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 0.7% and No at 99.4%. This is based on $1,020.774 total volume.
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Will Republicanos (REPUBLICANOS) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | 0.7% Odds — OctoTrend