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🏛️politicsEnds 5mo

Will União Brasil (UNIÃO) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

Yes6.7%
93.3%No
$894
Total Vol
$0
24h Vol
$2K
Liquidity
-0.6%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$1403.76
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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FAQ

What is "Will União Brasil (UNIÃO) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?"?▾
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 6.7% and No at 93.3%. This is based on $893.657 total volume.
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Will União Brasil (UNIÃO) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | 6.7% Odds — OctoTrend