O
cryptoEnds 1mo

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes97.6%
2.4%No
$199K
Total Vol
$3K
24h Vol
$29K
Liquidity
+0.4%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$2.46
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Related Markets

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

1%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

96%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

0%

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

0%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

37%-2.0%

Correlated Markets

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

independent

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

same

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

independent

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

independent

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

independent

FAQ

What is "Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?"?
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 97.6% and No at 2.4%. This is based on $198,920.83 total volume.
マーケット
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? | 97.6% Odds — OctoTrend