πŸ™OctoTrend
πŸ›οΈpoliticsEnds 14d

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

Yes
0.3%
No
99.8%
$600K
Total Vol
$85K
24h Vol
$30K
Liquidity
-0.1%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$39900.00
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to β€œYes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to β€œNo”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?"?β–Ύ
This market will resolve to β€œYes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to β€œNo”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?β–Ύ
The market currently prices Yes at 0.3% and No at 99.8%. This is based on $600,396.7 total volume.
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Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? β€” OctoTrend