O
🏛️politicsEnds 1mo

Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Yes99.8%
0.3%No
$47K
Total Vol
$40
24h Vol
$4K
Liquidity
+0.1%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$0.25
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

0%-0.1%

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

100%+0.1%

Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?

0%-0.1%

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

94%+0.1%

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

0%

Correlated Markets

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

independent

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

independent

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

independent

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

opposite

Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?

independent

FAQ

What is "Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?"?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 99.8% and No at 0.3%. This is based on $46,625.523 total volume.
マーケット
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve? | 99.8% Odds — OctoTrend