O
cryptoEnds 27d

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?

Yes8.5%
91.5%No
$1K
Total Vol
$713
24h Vol
$12K
Liquidity
+0.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$1076.47
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?

0%

Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

2%-0.4%

Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

11%-0.5%

Correlated Markets

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

independent

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

same

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

independent

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

independent

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

same

FAQ

What is "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?"?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 8.5% and No at 91.5%. This is based on $1,107.813 total volume.
マーケット
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026? | 8.5% Odds — OctoTrend