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β‚ΏcryptoEnds 8mo

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Yes35.5%
64.5%No
$2K
Total Vol
$2K
24h Vol
$34K
Liquidity
+10.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$181.69
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) β€” specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

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FAQ

What is "Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?"?β–Ύ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) β€” specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
What is the current probability?β–Ύ
The market currently prices Yes at 35.5% and No at 64.5%. This is based on $2,283.971 total volume.
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Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | 35.5% Odds β€” OctoTrend