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cryptoEnds 7mo

Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?

Yes7.0%
93.0%No
$101K
Total Vol
$0
24h Vol
$1K
Liquidity
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

FAQ

What is "Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?"?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 7.0% and No at 93.0%. This is based on $100,739.65 total volume.
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