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🏛️politicsEnds 28d

Will Trump say "Trump Gulf" or "Gulf of Trump" in May?

Yes100.0%
0.1%No
$610
Total Vol
$610
24h Vol
$308K
Liquidity
+57.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$0.05
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

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FAQ

What is "Will Trump say "Trump Gulf" or "Gulf of Trump" in May?"?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 100.0% and No at 0.1%. This is based on $609.796 total volume.
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