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₿cryptoEnds 1mo

Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ÂșC and 1.29ÂșC in May 2026?

Yes7.5%
92.5%No
$2K
Total Vol
$2K
24h Vol
$144
Liquidity
-39.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$1233.33
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

FAQ

What is "Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ÂșC and 1.29ÂșC in May 2026?"?â–Ÿ
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
What is the current probability?â–Ÿ
The market currently prices Yes at 7.5% and No at 92.5%. This is based on $1,571.739 total volume.
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Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ÂșC and 1.29ÂșC in May 2026? | 7.5% Odds — OctoTrend