ποΈpoliticsEnds 1mo
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Yes42.0%
58.0%No
$13K
Total Vol
$124
24h Vol
$20K
Liquidity
-2.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$138.10
If No wins
$-100.00
About This Market
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
FAQ
What is "Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?"?βΎ
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
What is the current probability?βΎ
The market currently prices Yes at 42.0% and No at 58.0%. This is based on $12,768.473 total volume.