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🏛️politicsEnds 3mo

Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Yes0.1%
99.9%No
$3K
Total Vol
$484
24h Vol
$5K
Liquidity
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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FAQ

What is "Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?"?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 0.1% and No at 99.9%. This is based on $2,797.657 total volume.
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